5 Stocks That Could Dip on China Woes презентация




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Caterpillar Caterpillar

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Connection with China In 2011, Caterpillar acquired Bucyrus International for $8.8 billion to expand its mining-equipment business, particularly in China. But with the global commodities boom ending soon after, Caterpillar couldn’t unlock value from what was also its largest-ever acquisition.

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The concerns going forward Caterpillar’s sales from Asia-Pacific slumped 25% in Q3 on weak demand from China. The company projects revenue from its resource industries (mining) division to fall 10% in 2016. It could fall further as tumbling iron ore prices -- down 45% year to date and 80% from their peak in 2011 -- push miners to the brink.

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Joy Global Joy Global

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Connection with China Joy gets the bulk of its revenue from coal-mining customers. Iron ore and copper are the other key commodity markets it serves. China is the world’s largest consumer of both coal and iron ore.

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The concerns going forward Joy’s original equipment orders and backlog value slumped 52% and 16%, respectively, during the nine months ended July. Joy expects to earn $1.80 per share this year. That’s only a quarter of what it earned in 2012. 2016 could be tougher as industry experts project prices of key commodities to fall further on lower consumption in China.

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Manitowoc Manitowoc

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Connection with China Manitowoc gets 12% of its revenue from Asia-Pacific, and China is a key market. Its cranes facility in China, also one of its largest, serves the Asia-Pacific and Middle East regions. Slowdown in the nation forced Manitowoc to exit a joint venture and offload stake in another last year.

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The concerns going forward Manitowoc’s crane sales slumped 23% year over year in Q3 on lower demand from Asia. The company projects full-year crane sales to decline 15%-20%. Its sales could decline further if China’s construction sector hits projections of historical lows in the near term.

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Cummins Cummins

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Connection with China Cummins gets 7% of its total and 46% of its joint venture sales from China. Cummins is setting up a new facility to gain foothold in the Chinese engine market. Sales from the market, however, are stagnating.

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The concerns going forward Each of Cummins’ business segments faces risks:

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Westport Innovations Westport Innovations

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Connection with China Westport’s joint venture with China-based Weichai Power contributed nearly 57% to the company’s total segment revenues last year. The venture was also its most profitable segment in 2014.

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The concerns going forward Westport’s share of income from Weichai-Westport slumped 88% year over year in Q3 as revenue fell 81% on lower truck sales in China. Any further weakness in China is a double whammy as it’ll hurt sales of both ventures, Weichai-Westport and Cummins-Westport.

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