Economics for your Classroom fromEd Dolan’s Econ BlogIs Government Debt Out of Control?A Tutorial on Debt Dynamicsand SustainabilityPosted November 30, 2015 презентация
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- 2. Is the Debt Out of Control? Many people fear that government
- 3. First: What to Measure? To determine whether the debt is too
- 4. Debt vs. Deficit The government debt is the total amount that
- 5. Next: Adjusting for the Business Cycle Next, to identify long-run debt
- 6. Automatic Stabilizers Automatic stabilizers are line items that automatically move the
- 7. Current vs. Structural Budget Balance The current balance of the budget
- 8. The Primary Structural Balance The primary structural balance (PSB) is equal
- 9. US Budget Balances, 1990-2015 This figure shows the three US government
- 10. The Steady-State Primary Structural Balance Under any given conditions, there is
- 11. Example 1: The Math Example 1 DEBT = 0.5 INT =
- 12. Example 1: Interpretation In Example 1, the interest rate (0.04) is
- 13. Example 2: The Math Example 2 DEBT = 0.5 INT =
- 14. Example 2: Interpretation In Example 2, the interest rate (0.02) is
- 15. Interest Rates vs. Growth Rates: What is “Normal”? As the examples
- 16. Interest vs. Growth Rates in the Inflationary 60s and 70s In
- 17. Could Low Interest Rates be the “New Normal?” From 2002 through
- 18. Is the US Federal Deficit Currently Sustainable? Each year the Congressional
- 19. Will the Debt Continue to be Sustainable? Although the CBO forecasts
- 20. The Bottom Line As of 2015, the primary structural balance is
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