Chapter 4 Appendix презентация

Chapter 4 Appendix Risk Management Application Problems

Loss Forecasting Probability distributions commonly used in loss forecasting include: Normal Binomial Exponential Poisson The normal distribution is used in many situations

Exhibit A4.1 Areas Under the Normal Curve (One Tail)

Time Value of Money When decisions involve consideration of cash flows over time, the interest-earning capacity of money must be taken into account

Other Risk Management Applications An accurate forecast of the timing and magnitude of claims is especially important when losses are retained The ability to forecast ultimate claims for liability lines is an important skill for the risk manager Loss development factors are multipliers that can be applied to claims settled to date to estimate the ultimate claims for a period When pricing catastrophe bonds, the probability of various loss contingencies must be considered